# Prediction Market Quantitative Trader at Totalis

- Company: Totalis (YC P26)
- What the company does: derivative layer for prediction markets. Backed by Y Combinator.
- Company website: https://www.totalis.trade
- Type: Startups
- Level: Mid level
- Location: New York, NY, US
- Work setup: On-site
- Pay: $140K to $250K base salary per year (USD)
- Posted: 2026-08-31
- Apply by: 2026-10-15
- Apply: https://www.ycombinator.com/companies/totalis/jobs/mqoEJPi-prediction-market-quantitative-trader
- Page: https://www.1752.vc/careers/jobs/totalis-prediction-market-quantitative-trader/

## About the role

You will work directly with the founders on the systems that define the company. You will determine fair values for combos, model correlations between event contracts, set executable prices, and manage the portfolio risk. This role sits at the intersection of quantitative research, sports trading, derivatives pricing, and real-time market making.

## What they're looking for

- Experience with quoting RFQs on other prediction markets (Kalshi or Polymarket)
- Familiar with exchange microstructure, liquidity, and adverse selection
- Strong understanding of probability and statistics
- Experience pricing or trading sports, prediction markets, or other trad-fi derivatives
- Experience with one or more relevant modeling approaches, such as Monte Carlo simulation, copulas, graphical models, Bayesian networks, or multivariate probability models
- Extremely high ownership and comfort operating in an early stage startup environment

Tags: Engineering