Startups · AI

Head of Predictions & Optimization

Confido · NYC Office · On-site

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About Confido

Confido is the AI infrastructure for CPG brands, providing a single source of truth for accounting, finance, sales, and operations teams. Backed by Y Combinator.

About the role

Lead pricing and trade optimization for RGM, including price elasticity, promo lift, cannibalization, and halo effects, so you can answer "how much should I charge for this?" Build promotion recommendations that get specific. Should a promo run 4 weeks or 8? Should it be a deeper discount, a BOGO, or buy-3-get-1? Which regions, retailers, and accounts should get it?

What they're looking for

  • Required
  • 7+ years of applied data science or predictive modeling, including experience leading projects or people
  • Deep expertise in statistical modeling and ML for pricing, demand, or forecasting, such as elasticity, causal inference, or uplift modeling
  • Experience building optimization or decision-support models, beyond predictions alone
  • Strong Python and SQL, plus rigor about validation: you know how to avoid leakage and when to distrust a good-looking result
  • The ability to turn a model into a clear recommendation a non-technical business user will act on
More about this role

Confido is the AI infrastructure powering modern CPG — the platform that 200+ brands like OLIPOP, Simple Mills, Dr. Squatch, and Tropicana use to run everything from deductions to production planning. Finance, accounting, sales, and operations, unified in one system for the first time.

We're growing 5x year over year with a small team in New York City; the people who join now will shape the product, the culture, and the company itself.

If you want your work on shelves everywhere — and outsized ownership while you build — we'd love to meet you.

THE ROLE

Tell brands what to charge, which promotions to run, and where. Back it with data almost no one else has.

Confido sees what's actually happening in the physical world of CPG: shipments, depletions, inventory, consumption, what's on the shelf, merchandising, deductions, the demographics of who lives near each store, and forward-looking promo plans. That means rich actuals and a real view of the future, across hundreds of brands. Most of this data isn't publicly available anywhere.

As Head of Prediction & Optimization, you'll build and lead Confido's data science function, starting with our newest product area: Revenue Growth...

Read the full posting on Confido's site ↗

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